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Monday, February 25, 2008

My Prediction For The 80th Oscars

The 80th Academy Awards is mere hours away. Predicting the Oscars was something I've liked doing with Sebastian back in our high school days, but the guy is so pissed off over this year's nominations (he hated frontrunner NO COUNTRY FOR OLD MEN) that he decides to sulk and boycott it. I'll do it myself. Anyone else who actually gives a rat's ass about the Oscars, or has an opinion about it can post their comments here.

Here we go (my prediction in bold):

Best Picture

* Atonement
* Juno
* Michael Clayton
* No Country for Old Men
* There Will Be Blood

THERE WILL BE BLOOD is the only one that I've never seen. But based on momentum, NO COUNTRY FOR OLD MEN, which I liked for its sheer badassness, will most probably win the big one. But I don't mind JUNO winning it just so I can finally see a comedy get some Oscar love.

Best Director

* Paul Thomas Anderson - There Will Be Blood
* Joel Coen and Ethan Coen - No Country for Old Men
* Tony Gilroy - Michael Clayton
* Jason Reitman - Juno
* Julian Schnabel - The Diving Bell and the Butterfly

It has to be the Coen Brothers' year.

Best Actor

* George Clooney - Michael Clayton
* Daniel Day-Lewis - There Will Be Blood
* Johnny Depp - Sweeney Todd: The Demon Barber of Fleet Street
* Tommy Lee Jones - In the Valley of Elah
* Viggo Mortensen - Eastern Promises

It's really a lock.

Best Actress

* Cate Blanchett - Elizabeth: The Golden Age
* Julie Christie - Away from Her
* Marion Cotillard - La Vie en Rose (La môme)
* Laura Linney - The Savages
* Ellen Page - Juno

They'll probably want to honour an illustrious career if they give it to Julie Christie, and yeah, she's really good in AWAY FROM HER, but Marion Cotillard's performance in LA VIE EN ROSE was a tour-de-force. It's almost a landmark performance. My brain tells me Julie Christie, my heart tells me Marion Cotillard.

Best Supporting Actor

* Casey Affleck - The Assassination of Jesse James by the Coward Robert Ford
* Javier Bardem - No Country for Old Men
* Philip Seymour Hoffman - Charlie Wilson's War
* Hal Holbrook - Into the Wild
* Tom Wilkinson - Michael Clayton

Casey Affleck and Tom Wilkinson were really great in their respective roles. But Javier Bardem's baddie in NO COUNTRY FOR OLD MEN is iconic.

Best Supporting Actress

* Cate Blanchett - I'm Not There
* Ruby Dee - American Gangster
* Saoirse Ronan - Atonement
* Amy Ryan - Gone Baby Gone
* Tilda Swinton - Michael Clayton

Ruby Dee was barely in the damned film. But she's a sentimental choice due to her place in film history.

Best Original Screenplay

* Juno - Diablo Cody
* Lars and the Real Girl - Nancy Oliver
* Michael Clayton - Tony Gilroy
* Ratatouille - Brad Bird
* The Savages - Tamara Jenkins

It's really a lock.

Best Adapted Screenplay

* Atonement - Christopher Hampton, from Atonement, novel by Ian McEwan
* Away from Her - Sarah Polley, from "The Bear Came over the Mountain", short story by Alice Munro
* The Diving Bell and the Butterfly - Ronald Harwood, from Le scaphandre et le papillon, memoir by Jean-Dominique Bauby
* No Country for Old Men - Joel and Ethan Coen, from No Country for Old Men, novel by Cormac McCarthy
* There Will Be Blood - Paul Thomas Anderson, from Oil!, novel by Upton Sinclair

NO COUNTRY FOR OLD MEN will sweep everything. But I won't mind if the gorgeous THE DIVING BELL AND THE BUTTERFLY wins this.

Best Animated Feature

* Persepolis
* Ratatouille
* Surf's Up

I liked SURF'S UP, but THE SIMPSONS MOVIE was really robbed. I'll go with RATATOUILLE because it's indeed awesome. But I'm in the midst of watching PERSEPOLIS and it's really unique.

Best Animated Short

* I Met the Walrus
* Madame Tutli-Putli
* Even Pigeons Go To Heaven
* My Love
* Peter and the Wolf

Just a wild guess. I didn't see either of them, and maybe Sebastian can once again help remedy that like last year :(

Best Art Direction

* Arthur Max and Beth Rubino - American Gangster
* Sarah Greenwood and Katie Spencer - Atonement
* Dennis Gassner and Anna Pinnock - The Golden Compass
* Dante Ferretti and Francesca Lo Schiavo - Sweeney Todd: The Demon Barber of Fleet Street
* Jack Fisk and Jim Erickson - There Will Be Blood

Tough one. I haven't seen THERE WILL BE BLOOD so I wouldn't know. SWEENEY TODD and ATONEMENT have the nicest art direction, to me. But I'll pick ATONEMENT because it's the less obvious choice?

Best Cinematography

* Roger Deakins - The Assassination of Jesse James by the Coward Robert Ford
* Seamus McGarvey - Atonement
* Janusz Kaminski - The Diving Bell and the Butterfly
* Roger Deakins - No Country for Old Men
* Robert Elswit - There Will Be Blood

I think it's either NO COUNTRY FOR OLD MEN or ASSASSINATION OF JESSE JAMES. But Roger Deakins' work in the latter was more.... show-offy and visually impressive, I think. So it'll get it. I thought Janusz Kaminski's work in THE DIVING BELL AND THE BUTTERFLY was really amazing too.

Best Costume Design

* Albert Wolsky - Across the Universe
* Jacqueline Durran - Atonement
* Alexandra Byrne - Elizabeth: The Golden Age
* Marit Allen - La Vie en Rose
* Colleen Atwood - Sweeney Todd: The Demon Barber of Fleet Street

Kiera Knightley's green gown.

Best Documentary Feature

* No End in Sight
* Operation Homecoming: Writing the Wartime Experience
* Sicko
* Taxi to the Dark Side
* War/Dance

Tough one. I want SICKO to win so I can see what Michael Moore has to say now after getting booed off the stage couple of years back for dissing the president during his BOWLING FOR COLUMBINE acceptance speech.

Best Documentary Short

* Freeheld
* La Corona
* Salim Baba
* Sari's Mother

Don't know a damned thing about any of the nominees either. But I pick Freeheld cos' it's the only one with a single-word title.

Best Film Editing

* Christopher Rouse - The Bourne Ultimatum
* Juliette Welfling - The Diving Bell and the Butterfly
* Jay Cassidy - Into the Wild
* Roderick Jaynes - No Country for Old Men
* Dylan Tichenor - There Will Be Blood

THE BOURNE ULTIMATUM, because a great Hollywood popcorn flick HAS to win an important award. But Welfling and Jaynes' works were great too.

Best Foreign Language Film

* Beaufort (Israel) in Hebrew
* The Counterfeiters (Austria) in German
* Katyń (Poland) in Polish
* Mongol (Kazakhstan) in Mongolian
* 12 (Russia) in Russian

THE COUNTERFEITERS is the only one I've heard of. But yeah, this category sucks.

Best Live Action Short

* At Night
* The Substitute
* The Mozart of Pickpockets
* Tanghi Argentini
* The Tonto Woman

I pick it cos' it has the longest title. Wish I can watch either one of them too.

Best Makeup

* Didier Lavergne and Jan Archibald - La Vie en Rose
* Rick Baker and Kazuhiro Tsuji - Norbit
* Ve Neill and Martin Samuel - Pirates of the Caribbean: At World's End

They transformed Marion Cotillard into Edith Piaf.

Best Original Score

* Dario Marianelli - Atonement
* Alberto Iglesias - The Kite Runner
* James Newton Howard - Michael Clayton
* Michael Giacchino - Ratatouille
* Marco Beltrami - 3:10 to Yuma

Atonement's is more gimmicky with the typewriter thing, so it'll get it. It's also the only score that I can remember.

Best Original Song

* Glen Hansard and Marketa Irglova - "Falling Slowly" from Once
* Alan Menken and Stephen Schwartz - "Happy Working Song" from Enchanted
* Alan Menken and Stephen Schwartz - "So Close" from Enchanted
* Alan Menken and Stephen Schwartz - "That's How You Know" from Enchanted
* Jamal Joseph, Charles Mack and Tevin Thomas - "Raise It Up" from August Rush

PLEASE PLEASE LET IT BE FALLING SLOWLY! Let the underdog win, sheesh! I don't mind if THAT'S HOW YOU KNOW win, but FALLING SLOWLY is more magical!

Best Sound Editing

* Karen Baker Landers and Per Hallberg - The Bourne Ultimatum
* Skip Lievsay - No Country for Old Men
* Randy Thom and Michael Silvers - Ratatouille
* Matthew Wood - There Will Be Blood
* Ethan van Der Ryn and Mike Hopkins - Transformers

Tough one.

Best Sound Mixing

* Scott Millan, David Parker, and Kirk Francis - The Bourne Ultimatum
* Skip Lievsay, Craig Berkey, Greg Orloff, and Peter Kurland - No Country for Old Men
* Randy Thom, Michael Semanick, and Doc Kane - Ratatouille
* Paul Massey, David Giammarco, and Jim Steube - 3:10 to Yuma
* Kevin O'Connell, Greg P. Russell, and Peter J. Devlin - Transformers

Tranformers is louder.

Best Visual Effects

* The Golden Compass
* Pirates of the Caribbean: At World's End
* Transformers

Transformers' visual effects are pretty groundbreaking.

Here's hoping that tomorrow's show will not suck. I'm catching the live telecast as usual.